Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -1.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.2 (-4.8) | 159.4 (+5.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.7 (-3.3) | 162.5 (+2.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.2 (-3.8) | 164.4 (+0.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.9 (-3.1) | 161.3 (+3.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#332) | -7.0 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#335) | -0.78 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#328) | -1.19 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#276) | 0.505 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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