I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Western Athletic Conference · Montagne Center · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual CBU +12 144 Lost
Massey CBU -8.9 (-3.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (+9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 2% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -7.6 (-4.4) 134.4 (+9.6) 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -9.1 (-2.9) 134.7 (+9.3) 20% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -9.5 (-2.5) 135.9 (+8.1) 18% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -8.7 (-3.3) 134.8 (+9.2) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2022 CBU 83 – 61 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM CBU
Overall 2-27 18-16
Conference 0-18 7-11
Home 2-11 14-5
Away 0-18 3-9
Neutral 0-0 1-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L27 L2
Avg Pts For 60.9 68.8
Avg Pts Against 74.1 69.0
Massey -13.5 (#345) -1.8 (#203)
Bradley-Terry -4.88 (#358) -0.50 (#219)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.07 (#358) -0.63 (#219)
RPI 0.336 (#359) 0.458 (#254)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM CBU
FG% 39.6% 43.1%
3PT% 30.1% 32.8%
REB / G 34.1 36.3
OREB / G 11.0 9.9
AST / TO 0.74 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 50.0%
TOV% 21.8% 20.2%
ORB% 29.9% 28.5%
FT Rate 18.1% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 17.2%
DRB% 67.9% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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