Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +1 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -3.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.4 (+2.4) | 128.9 (-25.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.8 (+3.8) | 132.7 (-29.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.0 (+3.0) | 130.9 (-27.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -2.1 (+3.1) | 133.1 (-30.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 18-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 17.3 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | 3.19 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#53) | 3.91 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#94) | 0.594 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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