Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -10.0 Home covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +13 139 Won
Massey M-OH -6.9 (+6.1) — —
Massey Totals — 152.0 (-13.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -6.6 (+6.4) 151.6 (-12.6) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -4.9 (+8.1) 150.6 (-11.6) 70% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -4.6 (+8.4) 152.8 (-13.8) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -5.2 (+7.8) 152.8 (-13.8) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2026 M-OH 74 – 64 EMU
Mar 13, 2025 M-OH 81 – 75 EMU
Feb 18, 2025 EMU 76 – 66 M-OH
Jan 29, 2025 M-OH 89 – 80 EMU
Mar 2, 2024 M-OH 52 – 37 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH EMU
Overall 14-18 10-21
Conference 8-12 5-15
Home 9-8 8-7
Away 5-9 2-14
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 73.8 68.8
Avg Pts Against 76.0 76.6
Massey -5.1 (#253) -9.1 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#262) -1.25 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#266) -1.64 (#281)
RPI 0.431 (#309) 0.435 (#304)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH EMU
FG% 42.7% 42.6%
3PT% 34.7% 30.8%
REB / G 33.9 34.6
OREB / G 9.6 8.3
AST / TO 1.25 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 48.1%
TOV% 14.9% 18.9%
ORB% 26.0% 22.6%
FT Rate 18.9% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 17.0%
DRB% 70.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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