Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -5.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -3.2 (+0.8) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -4.2 (-0.2) | 138.2 (-2.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -3.9 (+0.1) | 138.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -4.1 (-0.1) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GW 66 – 62 FOR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FOR 79 – 65 GW |
| Mar 13, 2025 | GW 88 – 81 FOR |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GW 81 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FOR 119 – 113 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#183) | -3.3 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#188) | -0.33 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#183) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#196) | 0.486 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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