Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -1.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -0.7 (+17.3) | 138.4 (-10.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -2.3 (+15.7) | 138.6 (-10.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -2.5 (+15.5) | 139.9 (-11.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -2.5 (+15.5) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#189) | -2.7 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | 0.05 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#169) | 0.21 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#179) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.