Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -3.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -3.6 (+0.4) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.2 (+1.8) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.7 (+1.3) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.9 (+1.1) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#54) | 9.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#77) | 2.04 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#82) | 2.13 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#60) | 0.596 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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