Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -6.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -2.4 (-5.6) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -3.9 (-4.1) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -3.2 (-4.8) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -3.0 (-5.0) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | FLA 71 – 63 UK |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FLA 84 – 77 UK |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FLA 92 – 83 UK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UK 106 – 100 FLA |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FLA 94 – 91 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 18-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#42) | 19.8 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#52) | 3.17 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#60) | 4.06 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#68) | 0.630 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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