Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -0.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -1.6 (+4.4) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.4 (+4.6) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -1.0 (+5.0) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -0.9 (+5.1) | 136.2 (-2.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | 10.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#70) | 2.29 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#63) | 2.82 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#115) | 0.549 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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