Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -210 DART +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +22 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -4.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -2.2 (-24.2) | 132.9 (-2.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -2.5 (-24.5) | 134.4 (-4.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.4 (-24.4) | 133.8 (-3.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -2.6 (-24.6) | 137.8 (-7.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#211) | -3.4 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#226) | -1.02 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#233) | 0.441 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.