I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Western Athletic Conference · Redhawk Center · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -16.0 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Money SEA -1700 / CHST +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +8 140 Won
Massey SEA -18.6 (-10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 138.6 (+1.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -14.5 (-6.5) 142.6 (-2.6) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -15.4 (-7.4) 141.2 (-1.2) 89% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -16.2 (-8.2) 140.1 (-0.1) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -16.0 (-8.0) 141.8 (-1.8) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2022 SEA 93 – 77 CHST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA CHST
Overall 23-9 7-25
Conference 14-4 3-15
Home 17-2 5-9
Away 6-6 2-15
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 73.5 62.1
Avg Pts Against 67.5 74.4
Massey 3.0 (#123) -12.8 (#344)
Bradley-Terry 0.87 (#110) -2.03 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#118) -2.68 (#337)
RPI 0.526 (#126) 0.397 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA CHST
FG% 40.6% 39.2%
3PT% 32.7% 30.9%
REB / G 36.9 34.0
OREB / G 9.8 11.7
AST / TO 1.15 0.64
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 46.0%
TOV% 16.0% 22.9%
ORB% 25.3% 31.6%
FT Rate 21.3% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 21.1% 18.9%
DRB% 74.6% 68.1%
Opp FT Rate 27.0% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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