This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Western Athletic Conference · Jones Convocation Center · January 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -10.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money CHST +400 / SEA -550
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHST win
Actual SEA +16 170 Lost
Massey SEA -8.2 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 134.3 (+35.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -10.2 (-5.8) 139.1 (+30.9) 20% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -7.8 (-8.2) 136.6 (+33.4) 23% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -8.3 (-7.7) 137.4 (+32.6) 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -8.8 (-7.2) 137.8 (+32.2) 20% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2022 SEA 74 – 66 CHST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHST SEA
Overall 7-25 23-9
Conference 3-15 14-4
Home 5-9 17-2
Away 2-15 6-6
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 62.1 73.5
Avg Pts Against 74.4 67.5
Massey -12.5 (#338) -0.2 (#174)
Bradley-Terry -1.83 (#309) -0.42 (#214)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.41 (#314) -0.31 (#203)
RPI 0.418 (#303) 0.434 (#287)
Shooting & Four Factors CHST SEA
FG% 37.2% 42.5%
3PT% 29.4% 35.3%
REB / G 36.2 36.1
OREB / G 12.9 10.0
AST / TO 0.54 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.5% 50.6%
TOV% 25.3% 16.9%
ORB% 33.6% 27.3%
FT Rate 18.7% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 21.8%
DRB% 69.2% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 26.8%

Game Analysis

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