Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–29 on winners spread MAE 9.1 82 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
East Carolina @ Tulane +7.7 153.9 77% 78–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver -0.7 145.3 44% 83–68 ✓
Murray State @ Drake +7.2 140.6 76% 62–74 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis +0.9 135.6 60% 61–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +8.2 151.0 77% 63–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +2.7 136.9 69% 65–81 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +10.5 146.3 83% 72–92 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston +10.1 134.0 84% 54–72 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +1.8 140.4 62% 65–58 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Valley +5.9 146.8 74% 69–113 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio +10.7 153.9 85% 58–92 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford +2.1 138.0 57% 69–78 ✓
Portland @ BYU +6.1 152.4 77% 71–82 ✓
California Baptist @ Southern Utah +4.2 143.3 73% 71–81 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -0.3 145.7 50% 71–61 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +2.7 132.0 61% 73–61 ✗
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois -0.8 123.3 52% 51–54 ✗
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +8.5 134.4 82% 56–80 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -1.2 153.6 47% 63–78 ✗
New Mexico @ Colorado State -1.3 151.2 47% 84–92 ✗
Pacific @ San Francisco +5.0 152.1 75% 63–80 ✓
Alabama @ Texas A&M -0.9 152.3 63% 61–67 ✗
Iowa State @ Baylor +6.7 136.4 75% 73–58 ✗
Seton Hall @ Providence +7.4 139.5 78% 82–58 ✗
Mercer @ Furman +8.5 140.8 80% 58–73 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +0.2 131.7 50% 51–73 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +5.6 138.8 73% 62–66 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +4.1 148.1 70% 69–77 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan State +5.0 141.0 76% 78–84 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss -0.0 135.5 49% 78–61 ✓
George Mason @ Richmond +1.9 133.6 51% 62–60 ✗
Bryant @ New Hampshire -2.5 141.8 43% 60–67 ✗
UAB @ Charlotte -2.2 132.9 38% 93–91 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina +0.7 139.7 64% 55–61 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +11.7 160.5 86% 94–96 ✓
Kansas State @ West Virginia +3.5 146.4 71% 81–89 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn -1.2 133.5 48% 70–79 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia +14.2 124.8 89% 60–75 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas +4.1 142.1 55% 88–79 ✗
Columbia @ Cornell +14.7 159.0 88% 73–87 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth -3.2 138.3 42% 82–87 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP -0.8 133.8 53% 65–77 ✗
Siena @ Saint Peter's -2.3 124.1 48% 72–73 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Manhattan +0.9 133.9 52% 74–69 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ La Salle +3.5 139.9 62% 76–73 ✗
Duquesne @ Fordham +1.6 144.4 65% 60–87 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -0.6 135.6 49% 57–69 ✗
Monmouth @ Drexel +8.9 130.7 80% 45–64 ✓
Campbell @ Radford +1.7 129.5 55% 72–71 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College +2.6 138.7 62% 73–65 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Massachusetts +2.1 138.4 63% 60–71 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma -0.3 142.7 50% 60–74 ✗
Troy @ James Madison +2.6 145.9 61% 72–75 ✓
Western Kentucky @ North Texas +10.7 124.0 84% 33–67 ✓
Florida International @ Rice +4.1 152.3 67% 90–83 ✗
Indiana State @ Bradley +2.6 139.1 63% 70–71 ✓
Niagara @ Canisius +1.3 133.5 57% 68–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Missouri +7.8 146.4 80% 77–82 ✓
Kansas @ Texas +3.7 147.3 65% 59–75 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +11.7 140.8 88% 54–85 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +3.4 138.3 56% 74–78 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon +7.0 137.6 77% 68–73 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech +11.6 148.7 87% 60–82 ✓
San José State @ Air Force -1.2 131.8 38% 63–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +2.1 155.6 65% 92–93 ✓
Florida A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +2.3 130.7 59% 70–91 ✓
VCU @ George Washington -6.1 144.0 20% 74–68 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse +0.2 154.1 46% 63–72 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada +6.4 140.0 76% 69–67 ✗
Utah @ Colorado +4.1 135.8 70% 60–69 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +7.1 155.1 79% 76–78 ✓
Texas State @ Marshall +6.3 144.5 70% 71–68 ✗
Chattanooga @ Samford +2.4 151.4 62% 85–82 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +3.9 134.0 74% 60–71 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +4.2 128.8 68% 52–65 ✓
Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T +0.8 136.6 54% 76–61 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +4.8 138.1 72% 71–68 ✗
LSU @ Florida +8.5 143.1 80% 67–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +5.6 139.3 74% 68–65 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.9 140.7 27% 63–58 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +11.0 131.3 86% 49–69 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +1.9 139.8 56% 62–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.