What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–8 on winners spread MAE 7.5 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Butler @ Xavier +12.2 144.6 86% 66–78 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +5.6 142.7 69% 67–65 ✗
NJIT @ Vermont +16.6 140.1 89% 57–84 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +13.2 151.3 86% 80–96 ✓
Chicago State @ Fresno State +12.7 131.3 84% 72–108 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -3.9 135.7 28% 68–60 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Louisiana Tech -6.8 142.1 26% 76–72 ✓
Iona @ Rider -4.2 143.4 26% 80–78 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Marist -3.6 141.6 43% 88–76 ✓
UConn @ Villanova -3.2 136.6 33% 71–59 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +3.7 139.0 68% 76–87 ✓
Yale @ Brown -5.3 139.4 29% 84–75 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech -1.3 154.3 44% 89–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +5.9 154.4 72% 50–70 ✓
California @ Oregon State +4.0 124.4 71% 66–69 ✓
Notre Dame @ Clemson +10.2 142.2 86% 64–87 ✓
Davidson @ Rhode Island -1.7 139.1 41% 68–54 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana +5.9 139.6 72% 49–67 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +4.5 139.1 72% 67–66 ✗
Northeastern @ Delaware +4.4 135.6 70% 74–77 ✓
Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt +0.9 133.6 58% 72–77 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -11.1 149.6 16% 84–70 ✓
Boise State @ Utah State +4.1 142.2 69% 73–86 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +12.6 132.6 86% 44–52 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +2.2 131.9 64% 61–81 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +10.3 141.6 84% 55–63 ✓
Arizona @ UCLA +7.0 146.7 78% 73–82 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +12.2 134.1 88% 50–67 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Portland State -1.6 154.3 44% 84–80 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount -3.3 144.4 34% 73–63 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -7.2 130.0 22% 73–72 ✓
Arizona State @ USC +5.8 147.0 77% 65–68 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +1.9 149.8 61% 93–87 ✗
Houston @ Memphis -3.2 139.7 26% 67–65 ✓
Maryland @ Penn State +1.1 134.2 55% 64–65 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +13.0 136.2 85% 46–94 ✓
Illinois @ Purdue +7.9 138.1 82% 71–76 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Asheville +2.9 138.8 65% 73–77 ✓
Army @ Colgate +11.3 151.2 87% 74–91 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +0.1 130.5 51% 77–51 ✗
South Florida @ Wichita State +5.5 145.7 72% 49–69 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +3.8 151.8 69% 82–83 ✓
East Carolina @ UCF +11.0 136.2 85% 58–84 ✓
SMU @ Cincinnati +11.3 152.9 85% 74–97 ✓
Nebraska @ Iowa +11.2 153.7 82% 81–77 ✗
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +0.9 127.6 58% 68–73 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -3.2 139.2 43% 66–67 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +10.0 147.1 82% 80–83 ✓
American University @ Lafayette +2.2 122.0 65% 76–84 ✓
Michigan @ Indiana +5.1 146.4 69% 73–75 ✓
McNeese @ East Texas A&M +3.1 140.9 58% 79–78 ✗
South Alabama @ James Madison +1.8 142.4 58% 75–66 ✗
Stony Brook @ Charleston +17.2 144.4 88% 52–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.