Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | RID +275 IONA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -6.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -5.9 (+3.9) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.2 (+2.2) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.3 (+3.3) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -6.0 (+4.0) | 145.8 (+12.2) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#193) | 8.8 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#212) | 1.02 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#212) | 1.23 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#174) | 0.587 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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