Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -10.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -7.7 (-4.7) | 147.0 (+16.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -10.0 (-7.0) | 147.1 (+15.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -8.0 (-5.0) | 147.3 (+15.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -8.1 (-5.1) | 147.2 (+15.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#89) | -4.3 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#97) | -0.54 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#100) | -0.78 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.484 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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