Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UMBC -300 BING +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -7.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -6.6 (-8.6) | 144.6 (-12.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -5.6 (-7.6) | 142.7 (-10.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -5.4 (-7.4) | 145.8 (-13.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -5.0 (-7.0) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#234) | -7.8 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#225) | -1.32 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#230) | -1.86 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#224) | 0.451 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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