Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -19.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -18.2 (+3.8) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -17.2 (+4.8) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -16.5 (+5.5) | 143.7 (-17.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -16.7 (+5.3) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | STBK 112 – 106 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2025 | COFC 81 – 74 STBK |
| Mar 12, 2024 | COFC 82 – 79 STBK |
| Jan 6, 2024 | COFC 93 – 87 STBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | COFC 92 – 52 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 11-2 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#62) | -10.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#32) | -1.44 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#37) | -1.89 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#41) | 0.443 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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