Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +180 YALE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -6.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -6.1 (-2.9) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -5.3 (-3.7) | 139.4 (+19.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -5.4 (-3.6) | 141.8 (+17.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -5.9 (-3.1) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#173) | 9.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#182) | 0.97 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | 1.39 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#156) | 0.566 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.