Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -0.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.5 (-3.5) | 155.9 (+8.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.6 (-2.4) | 154.3 (+9.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.5 (-3.5) | 156.3 (+7.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.7 (-3.3) | 156.5 (+7.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#239) | -3.3 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#258) | -0.83 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#257) | -0.80 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#263) | 0.460 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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