We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Santa Clara Broncos
87 – 93 2OT
FINAL Neutral Conference West Coast Conference
San Francisco Dons
West Coast Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 156.0 Over
Money SCU -175 / SF +148
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SF +6 180 Lost
Massey SCU -2.7 (-8.7) — —
Massey Totals — 149.8 (+30.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SCU -3.4 (-9.4) 152.1 (+27.9) 69% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -1.9 (-7.9) 149.8 (+30.2) 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -3.7 (-9.7) 151.7 (+28.3) 66% ✗
Baseline ML SCU -3.5 (-9.5) 152.8 (+27.2) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 SCU 94 – 73 SF
Jan 29, 2026 SCU 88 – 73 SF
Jan 12, 2025 SCU 77 – 54 SF
Dec 31, 2024 SF 97 – 94 SCU
Mar 3, 2024 SCU 69 – 62 SF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU SF
Overall 23-10 20-14
Conference 11-5 7-9
Home 14-4 11-6
Away 6-3 5-6
Neutral 3-3 4-2
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 75.8
Avg Pts Against 73.8 73.5
Massey 6.9 (#84) 4.2 (#105)
Bradley-Terry 1.67 (#51) 0.74 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.09 (#53) 0.91 (#104)
RPI 0.569 (#59) 0.509 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU SF
FG% 45.9% 44.9%
3PT% 37.6% 35.9%
REB / G 38.2 33.8
OREB / G 10.7 9.2
AST / TO 1.11 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 53.7%
TOV% 17.2% 19.7%
ORB% 30.7% 28.2%
FT Rate 21.9% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 18.0%
DRB% 75.9% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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