You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Marist Red Foxes
76 – 88
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · McCann Arena · March 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money MRST +130 / QUIN -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRST win
Actual QUIN +12 164 Lost
Massey QUIN -3.9 (-8.1) — —
Massey Totals — 137.8 (+26.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -3.8 (-8.2) 142.2 (+21.8) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -3.6 (-8.4) 141.6 (+22.4) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -2.9 (-9.1) 141.4 (+22.6) 39% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -2.9 (-9.1) 143.3 (+20.7) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 MRST 77 – 75 QUIN
Jan 24, 2026 MRST 71 – 64 QUIN
Dec 29, 2025 QUIN 64 – 58 MRST
Jan 5, 2025 MRST 69 – 62 QUIN
Mar 8, 2024 QUIN 73 – 64 MRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRST QUIN
Overall 13-20 20-12
Conference 6-14 11-9
Home 5-10 9-4
Away 4-9 9-6
Neutral 4-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.9 72.5
Avg Pts Against 66.7 69.8
Massey -7.2 (#294) 0.2 (#167)
Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#313) -0.06 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.82 (#307) -0.02 (#175)
RPI 0.433 (#309) 0.513 (#152)
Shooting & Four Factors MRST QUIN
FG% 41.0% 43.1%
3PT% 32.2% 35.8%
REB / G 33.5 37.8
OREB / G 8.5 11.4
AST / TO 0.92 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 49.8%
TOV% 17.9% 18.5%
ORB% 24.9% 32.4%
FT Rate 18.7% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 16.4%
DRB% 72.1% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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