Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -6.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -5.8 (-6.8) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -4.5 (-5.5) | 139.1 (-6.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -6.4 (-7.4) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -6.4 (-7.4) | 142.7 (-9.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | -3.2 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#143) | -0.72 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | -0.96 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.469 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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