Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | NAU -3.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -2.6 (+8.4) | 141.5 (+21.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -3.7 (+7.3) | 139.0 (+24.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -3.1 (+7.9) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -3.2 (+7.8) | 143.2 (+19.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#230) | -6.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#303) | -1.69 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#272) | -1.98 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#304) | 0.386 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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