Betting Lines
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | ETAM -120 MCN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -3.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -2.6 (-3.6) | 142.0 (+15.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -3.1 (-4.1) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.5 (-3.5) | 142.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.6 (-3.6) | 142.8 (+14.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#305) | -11.4 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#296) | -2.06 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#316) | -2.76 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#293) | 0.446 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.