Betting Lines
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | BRAD +118 DRKE -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +26 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -0.6 (-26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -0.2 (-25.8) | 131.1 (-3.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -0.1 (-26.1) | 130.5 (-2.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -0.3 (-25.7) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -0.1 (-25.9) | 132.0 (-4.0) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#71) | 7.7 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#67) | 1.54 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#75) | 1.78 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#34) | 0.574 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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