Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | WICH -350 USF +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -5.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -5.0 (+15.0) | 145.5 (-27.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -5.5 (+14.5) | 145.7 (-27.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.7 (+15.3) | 146.5 (-28.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -5.4 (+14.6) | 147.2 (-29.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USF 66 – 58 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | -0.25 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#123) | 0.09 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#149) | 0.482 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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