Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -650 OMA +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -9.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -8.1 (-0.1) | 141.8 (-23.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -10.3 (-2.3) | 141.6 (-23.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -8.7 (-0.7) | 142.0 (-24.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -8.4 (-0.4) | 143.4 (-25.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#160) | -8.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#128) | -1.33 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#156) | -1.67 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#66) | 0.457 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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