Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | USU -3.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -4.6 (+8.4) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -4.1 (+8.9) | 142.2 (+16.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -4.0 (+9.0) | 143.8 (+15.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -4.3 (+8.7) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#30) | 11.7 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#28) | 2.23 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#24) | 2.80 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#11) | 0.604 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.