Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -900 ARMY +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -11.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.4 (+5.6) | 154.4 (+10.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.3 (+5.7) | 151.2 (+13.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -11.7 (+5.3) | 153.9 (+11.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -10.7 (+6.3) | 155.5 (+9.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#108) | -4.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#123) | -1.02 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#111) | -1.19 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#87) | 0.459 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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