Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -6.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -4.0 (-1.0) | 124.4 (+10.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -5.3 (-2.3) | 123.5 (+11.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -5.5 (-2.5) | 124.5 (+10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -5.3 (-2.3) | 126.0 (+9.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | CAL 81 – 73 ORST |
| Jan 22, 2023 | ORST 68 – 48 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2022 | CAL 63 – 61 ORST |
| Dec 3, 2021 | CAL 73 – 61 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ORST 59 – 57 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-7 | 3-14 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#211) | -5.4 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#234) | -1.90 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#233) | -1.86 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#298) | 0.421 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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