Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -1.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -0.4 (-1.6) | 133.5 (-9.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -0.5 (-1.5) | 137.5 (-13.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -1.0 (-1.0) | 138.7 (-14.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -0.3 (-1.7) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | CAL 81 – 73 ORST |
| Mar 5, 2023 | ORST 69 – 66 CAL |
| Jan 22, 2023 | ORST 68 – 48 CAL |
| Dec 3, 2021 | CAL 73 – 61 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ORST 59 – 57 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 5-15 |
| Home | 3-13 | 10-8 |
| Away | 0-12 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L18 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#219) | 1.8 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#289) | 0.01 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#261) | 0.18 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#277) | 0.463 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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