Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CAL -450 ORST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -7.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -5.0 (+3.0) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -5.4 (+2.6) | 141.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -5.8 (+2.2) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -6.2 (+1.8) | 145.0 (+9.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | ORST 69 – 66 CAL |
| Jan 22, 2023 | ORST 68 – 48 CAL |
| Feb 10, 2022 | CAL 63 – 61 ORST |
| Dec 3, 2021 | CAL 73 – 61 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2021 | ORST 59 – 57 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#115) | -0.2 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | 0.17 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#124) | 0.25 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#177) | 0.484 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.