Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1400 CSUB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +8 | 96 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -15.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -12.6 (-4.6) | 134.7 (-38.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -12.6 (-4.6) | 132.6 (-36.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -12.3 (-4.3) | 137.9 (-41.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -12.6 (-4.6) | 138.0 (-42.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | -6.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#113) | -1.33 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#102) | -1.47 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.425 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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