UNC Asheville
Bulldogs
77
–
73
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big South
Campbell
Fighting Camels
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -3.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -3.3 (+0.7) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -2.9 (+1.1) | 138.8 (+11.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -4.2 (-0.2) | 140.3 (+9.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -4.2 (-0.2) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNCA 78 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | UNCA 58 – 55 CAM |
| Jan 6, 2022 | UNCA 60 – 54 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#152) | -3.0 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#98) | -0.76 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | -0.89 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#73) | 0.476 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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