I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -6.5 Away covered
O/U 126.5 Under
Money CAM -280 / UNCA +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual UNCA +6 114 Lost
Massey CAM -6.9 (-12.9) — —
Massey Totals — 127.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CAM -4.1 (-10.1) 132.4 (-18.4) 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -4.5 (-10.5) 131.5 (-17.5) 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -3.8 (-9.8) 131.8 (-17.8) 66% ✗
Baseline ML CAM -3.6 (-9.6) 133.2 (-19.2) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2023 UNCA 77 – 73 CAM
Jan 28, 2023 UNCA 78 – 65 CAM
Jan 7, 2023 UNCA 58 – 55 CAM

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.