Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -120 UNCA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -0.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -0.1 (-12.9) | 136.1 (+6.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -0.6 (-12.4) | 134.6 (+8.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.4 (-13.4) | 137.7 (+5.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.0 (-13.0) | 138.0 (+5.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | UNCA 77 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 7, 2023 | UNCA 58 – 55 CAM |
| Jan 6, 2022 | UNCA 60 – 54 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#241) | -1.2 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#265) | 0.51 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#259) | 0.41 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#257) | 0.528 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.