Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -2000 NJIT +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -15.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -15.0 (+12.0) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -16.6 (+10.4) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -15.1 (+11.9) | 142.3 (-1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -14.5 (+12.5) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | -9.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#117) | -2.14 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#131) | -2.33 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#43) | 0.399 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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