Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -11.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -11.8 (-2.2) | 152.4 (+1.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -11.1 (-2.9) | 149.6 (+4.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -10.9 (-3.1) | 150.9 (+3.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -11.1 (-2.9) | 151.4 (+2.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#158) | 15.1 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#175) | 1.87 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#162) | 2.61 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#233) | 0.574 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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