Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -700 NEB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -11.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -11.0 (-15.0) | 155.9 (+2.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -11.2 (-15.2) | 153.7 (+4.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -9.7 (-13.7) | 154.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -9.9 (-13.9) | 156.7 (+1.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#29) | 4.7 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#40) | 1.29 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#35) | 1.62 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#63) | 0.528 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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