Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +163 BRY -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -2.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.1 (+8.1) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -2.5 (+9.5) | 141.8 (-14.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -2.1 (+9.1) | 141.1 (-14.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -2.2 (+9.2) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#289) | -1.0 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#252) | -0.14 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#256) | -0.45 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#249) | 0.515 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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