Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -175 FAMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +21 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -3.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.9 (+18.1) | 134.8 (+26.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.3 (+18.7) | 130.7 (+30.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -2.0 (+19.0) | 131.2 (+29.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.4 (+18.6) | 133.2 (+27.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#356) | -14.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#329) | -2.49 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#335) | -3.00 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#348) | 0.394 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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