If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
41–17 on winners spread MAE 8.7 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Houston +16.0 133.0 89% 66–83 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +14.4 143.1 87% 73–92 ✓
American University @ Navy +8.7 126.3 80% 52–51 ✗
Lafayette @ Lehigh +1.3 132.5 54% 71–64 ✗
Valparaiso @ Murray State +3.9 140.4 67% 50–78 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +8.2 141.3 80% 74–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Kennesaw State +4.0 148.2 73% 71–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Liberty +12.6 141.7 88% 73–79 ✓
UCF @ Temple -3.2 139.2 37% 55–57 ✗
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +7.5 143.1 78% 76–77 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena +7.8 137.1 79% 67–66 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's -2.3 127.9 38% 73–60 ✓
Marist @ Iona +16.7 137.3 89% 74–93 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +5.4 143.0 78% 87–91 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota -11.8 133.5 17% 74–75 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State -0.6 155.9 44% 91–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -3.2 140.9 40% 82–92 ✗
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -6.9 146.5 24% 71–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State -4.7 136.2 26% 64–58 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +6.1 157.4 80% 66–71 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -0.3 160.5 60% 70–87 ✗
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +5.8 134.7 77% 70–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +5.5 152.9 79% 77–65 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +8.0 121.9 79% 50–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -8.7 153.0 21% 103–74 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -9.2 135.6 25% 73–78 ✗
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +4.4 134.0 70% 57–66 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +9.4 132.9 81% 48–60 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -6.4 140.7 18% 70–60 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +12.9 136.0 87% 61–79 ✓
Purdue @ Wisconsin -3.2 127.6 32% 63–61 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +1.9 157.7 60% 74–92 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.2 140.2 47% 67–63 ✗
Memphis @ SMU -6.4 156.5 25% 81–62 ✓
Alabama State @ Southern +9.1 136.2 83% 52–66 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon State -4.9 129.4 30% 83–60 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +1.9 142.0 63% 73–68 ✗
Norfolk State @ Howard +0.2 144.4 55% 67–87 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis +0.8 138.5 56% 89–86 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State +8.5 131.1 79% 57–74 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +9.7 141.7 81% 61–77 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -8.7 130.0 23% 81–55 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +0.4 143.3 58% 75–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -1.7 152.8 40% 75–81 ✗
Arizona @ USC +0.9 158.1 46% 87–81 ✗
Washington State @ Washington -1.5 135.9 44% 93–84 ✓
California @ Oregon +15.5 131.2 89% 51–84 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific +0.5 161.1 55% 71–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +7.6 140.6 79% 66–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +8.1 131.7 79% 66–72 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois +5.3 150.5 73% 66–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Hampton -0.2 141.7 52% 100–64 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -2.9 130.8 37% 76–77 ✗
Indiana State @ Belmont -0.7 154.4 45% 94–91 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +4.7 133.3 70% 41–66 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +4.1 132.0 68% 81–68 ✗
Akron @ Kent State +5.6 139.7 75% 84–89 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -2.3 157.6 32% 87–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.