Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +275 NCCU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -7.9 (+0.9) | 148.3 (-13.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -6.9 (-0.1) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -8.0 (+1.0) | 148.6 (-13.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -7.6 (+0.6) | 150.5 (-15.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-19 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#347) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#339) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#339) | -0.05 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#333) | 0.517 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.