Lehigh
Mountain Hawks
64
–
71
FINAL
Conference
PenFed Credit Union Patriot League
Lafayette
Leopards
Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -138 LAF +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -2.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.9 (-8.9) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.3 (-8.3) | 132.5 (+2.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.5 (-9.5) | 130.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.4 (-9.4) | 132.3 (+2.7) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#280) | -5.3 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#242) | -1.60 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#250) | -1.78 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#211) | 0.449 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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