Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -333 AAMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +12 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -9.5 (+2.5) | 134.9 (-26.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -9.4 (+2.6) | 132.9 (-24.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -9.4 (+2.6) | 133.5 (-25.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -9.2 (+2.8) | 133.6 (-25.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#203) | -8.8 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#154) | -1.68 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#151) | -2.14 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#148) | 0.426 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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