Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -205 AAMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -6.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.9 (-11.9) | 131.8 (-7.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.9 (-12.9) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.5 (-11.5) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -4.5 (-12.5) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | GRAM 74 – 73 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#276) | -11.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -1.30 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#263) | -1.69 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#262) | 0.423 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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