Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -230 AAMU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -7.6 (+8.4) | 134.7 (-16.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -6.8 (+9.2) | 134.7 (-16.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -7.7 (+8.3) | 136.9 (-18.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -7.8 (+8.2) | 136.5 (-18.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | GRAM 74 – 73 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#326) | -17.3 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#353) | -2.96 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#353) | -3.53 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#338) | 0.385 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 33.4% |
Game Analysis
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