Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +125 GRAM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -3.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.3 (-7.7) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -2.8 (-8.2) | 138.2 (-5.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -2.8 (-8.2) | 139.8 (-6.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.3 (-7.7) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | GRAM 74 – 73 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -17.4 (#360) | -10.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#359) | -2.64 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#357) | -3.31 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#363) | 0.398 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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