Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UCR -125 UCI +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -0.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -1.0 (-11.0) | 147.5 (-7.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.4 (-10.4) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -1.3 (-11.3) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -1.2 (-11.2) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#136) | 5.0 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#113) | 0.59 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#131) | 0.86 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#112) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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